|
By Yuliya Tymoshenko, Member of Parliament, Ukraine
Article from Project Syndicate, Published by The Straits Times,
English Language Daily, Singapore, Asia, February 6, 2004
|
WHEN is a free-trade agreement bad? When the treaty's
underlying purpose is neither about trade nor freedom.
Such a pact - calling for a 'united economic space' - is now
being entered into by Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, and Belarus.
On the surface, a 'united economic space' sounds like something
to applaud. But, sadly, the treaty will only entrench post-communism's
corrupt and criminal business practices, not increase trade or prosperity.
|

|
A huge benefit for the accession countries in preparing
themselves to join the European Union (EU) was that they were forced to
conform to European business, political, and legal norms. The proposed
'united economic space' will also have its own norms - the ways of the
oligarch, the corrupt bureaucrat, the crony capitalist, and the politically
motivated prosecutor.
Does anyone doubt that the jailing of Mr Mikhail Khodorkovsky,
chairman of oil giant Yukos, is politically motivated? I myself have endured
numerous politically inspired investigations and prosecutions of my former
business as a means to drive me out of politics. Can anyone imagine such
a prosecution occurring in the EU?
That Mr Khodorkovsky is spending months in jail before he is
formally charged tells us much about the nature of business, politics,
and law in the nations of the former Soviet Union.
In the countries of the 'united economic space', the rule of law
typically means 'I rule, and I am the law'. So, instead of promoting growth,
the 'united economic space' will retard it by discouraging competition and
investment.
Instead of enhancing European stability, it will undermine it by
dividing Europe into the EU's single market and an economic trading area
ruled by arbitrary fiat and decree.
But, as a matter of economic principle, practical diplomacy and
visionary politics, aren't regional free-trade areas at least a step in the
right direction?
After all, countries that scrap tariffs among themselves trade
more and often raise their economic growth rates as a result. Moreover,
free-trade agreements are typically seen as politically valuable: Countries
tied by commerce are supposedly less likely to shoot at each other.
Unfortunately, the 'united economic space' promises no such
benefits.
By definition, it discriminates against countries outside the
club, with which trade will not be liberalised. Members will specialise in
industries in which they lack comparative advantage, undercutting the
main reason to support free trade in the first place. Worse yet, markets
will be carved up for political, not commercial, reasons, locking in
inefficiencies.
The 'political' argument - that regional trade bodies promote
peaceful foreign relations - is simply wrong-headed in the post-Soviet case.
After all, Ukraine managed to eliminate its nuclear weapons and
reach accommodation over the Black Sea fleet without joining a private
economic bloc with Russia.
On the other hand, not long after the 'united economic space'
was announced, Russia began to cast covetous eyes on the Ukrainian Black
Sea island of Tuszla. Economic borders cannot and will not disappear until
Russia and Ukraine agree on their territorial borders.
Because the proposed members of this new 'united economic space'
share Russian as a lingua franca and a common past within the former
Soviet Union, outsiders may dismiss too readily subtler differences in
culture, outlook, and even vocabulary. Because the region shares many
outward forms of European culture, it is a short step to assuming that
recent moves to free markets and democracy will be seamless and permanent.
But the 'united economic space' is also a perversion because the
presence of Belarus and Kazakhstan will ensure that democracy remains
low on the agenda.
Another perversion of democracy is the fact that the
supra-national body that is to administer the 'united economic space' grants
Ukraine and its 49 million people only 9.9 per cent of votes, while it gives
Russia and its 140 million people 83 per cent.
That gross imbalance in representation is a shameful betrayal of
Ukraine's sovereignty. It is a deal that can only have been agreed to as
the price of Russian support for Ukraine's President Leonid Kuchma as
he desperately seeks to extend his presidency beyond the two-term limit
that he faces this year.
My opposition to the 'united economic space' is not opposition
to Russia. The more Ukraine trades abroad, the better; if more of that
open trade goes Russia's way, so be it. But that trade should reflect that
Ukraine is competing with the world, unconstrained by a private deal
that excludes outsiders and their demands for a stable and predictable
legal environment and the best business practices.
I am not one of those people who think Russia is so naturally
collectivist that free trade and an open economy cannot work there. Nor
do I believe that Russia is so inherently autocratic that democracy must
invariably fail. But I do believe that, for these canards to be discarded,
Russia and Ukraine must open themselves to global competition, not
isolate themselves with each other.
Mr Dmitri Likhachev, one of Russia's most respected
intellectuals in the communist era, said that there is no such thing as the
Russian soul - 'we can create whatever future we want'. Ukraine and
Russia, too, can create the future they want, but not by closing themselves
off in a 'united economic space' that, in reality, is nothing more than
another dark corner.
The writer, a former deputy prime minister of Ukraine, is now
a leader of the parliamentary opposition to President Leonid Kuchma.
http://straitstimes.asia1.com.sg/commentary/story/0,4386,233399,00.html
FOR PERSONAL AND ACADEMIC USE ONLY
|